Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.620322 1.856163 2.115321 2.421400 2.773256 3.165355 3.635861
2025-07-20 1.356286 1.681682 2.069066 2.564951 3.184007 3.932850 4.909818
2025-07-27 1.153347 1.530338 2.011059 2.670664 3.555044 4.703892 6.316342
2025-08-03 0.981914 1.382612 1.925324 2.717008 3.847698 5.412512 7.756745
2025-08-10 0.817216 1.212650 1.777557 2.647631 3.962168 5.887226 8.944762
2025-08-17 0.674406 1.048628 1.609289 2.515900 3.956617 6.176689 9.894216
2025-08-24 0.585282 0.949964 1.520768 2.486167 4.093674 6.690508 11.258108
2025-08-31 0.510219 0.861361 1.433486 2.441943 4.195089 7.153556 12.600103
2025-09-07 0.474497 0.831549 1.435941 2.544076 4.551477 8.083593 14.877445
2025-09-14 0.433127 0.785756 1.404150 2.580220 4.793918 8.843885 16.959690
2025-09-21 0.388671 0.728130 1.343335 2.553949 4.915720 9.397165 18.729731
2025-09-28 0.340864 0.657889 1.250256 2.453534 4.880660 9.645773 19.932925
2025-10-05 0.322319 0.642447 1.260695 2.560499 5.279041 10.817789 23.253849
2025-10-12 0.306476 0.630295 1.276099 2.680186 5.722686 12.150580 27.150232
2025-10-19 0.289001 0.612459 1.277749 2.771646 6.121076 13.449669 31.200958
2025-10-26 0.268250 0.584916 1.255616 2.808689 6.406014 14.545038 34.976744
2025-11-02 0.240310 0.538077 1.186210 2.730726 6.418776 15.028875 37.380575
2025-11-09 0.211179 0.484755 1.095692 2.591388 6.266689 15.104562 38.786702
2025-11-16 0.193104 0.454405 1.053068 2.558842 6.366738 15.799421 41.894814
2025-11-23 0.176083 0.424347 1.007311 2.512221 6.424799 16.398653 44.856139
2025-11-30 0.169974 0.419786 1.021429 2.616746 6.884654 18.091589 51.106356
2025-12-07 0.160390 0.405399 1.009779 2.653583 7.172152 19.376288 56.440603
2025-12-14 0.148284 0.383096 0.975596 2.626333 7.282273 20.198521 60.579468